“Risk! who needs it? – use ISAE

Introduction

The Integrated Safety Assurance Environment  system provides a fully integrated environment for effective recording, assessment and management of safety activities and resultant documents. Records thus captured and maintained provide evidence of a systematic approach to safety and compliance with current best practice while making a valuable contribution to a Safety Case for the product, process or the Undertaking concerned.

Background Theory

ISAE  is a data warehouse  and modelling tool aimed at the analyst following the seven-stage risk modelling technique. The seven-stage risk modelling technique is a methodology  that has identified seven steps of analysis required in the analysis of any scenario. It has been applied to the Rail industry in the UK and Europe and has proven a good tool in organising the mass of input into such a project and also focusing the risk analysts into a common goal in a unified manner.

The seven stages are

  1. Hazard  Identification
  2. Causal Analysis
  3. Consequence  Analysis
  4. Loss Analysis
  5. Option  Analysis
  6. Impact Analysis
  7. Demonstration of Compliance

The modelling technique is based in common sense; from examining the steps to reveal a line of processing involved in gathering all the information about the Hazards within a scenario. Then after sorting and grouping it, modelling and congregating the base Hazard  events together into critical events. These can then be further modelled to show how steps are taken to deal with these events and the consequences that can occur. Next these consequences can be brought together into common groups and a cost factor added. A report can be generated to show which elements of the model contributed to a particular failure.

Now that the scenario has been modelled the user can apply what-if probabilities at the model and evaluate the results immediately using the scenario emulator.

The real strength of ISAE  is the generic manner that analyst must universally enter data and almost unwittingly allocate classification codes which provide great hindsight in the later analysis of the model.

The Tool

Briefly, the Integrated Systems Assurance Environment will assist your development of risk models by organising the input, ensuring that all details captured are recorded, and allows the analysis of models using graphical worksheets. Once the models are complete, ISAE  can then generate a mathematical model and allow scenarios to be run to help you assess where the influence of factors on your model.

Whilst ISAE is a good analysis tool, and must not be the basis on which life and death situations be based, it does provide an insight into your model, and direct you where to perform further studies and analysis. You should treat it as another utility wrench in your toolbox!